"There are repercussions for shouting 'fire' in a crowded cinema.". However, experts say Gray's November 14 prediction wasn't really a prediction. Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. He also uses his Spiritual Awareness Facebook page to plug a fuel saving product he sells in New Zealand, called Clean Turbo. FAIRFAX NZ … New Zealand will drop down into alert level 2 at midnight, freeing up restrictions on what you can do and where you can go from tomorrow. The problem came when their predictions provoked fear, Hyde said. In fact, it was Galileo that developed much of what we now call the ‘scientific method’. He says his career as a painter makes him qualified to comment on weather, earthquakes and geo-engineering (we'll get to this soon). 3 News. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity… Should we evacuate an area every time the moon is on its closest approach, is full or new, is moving rapidly, is at its maximum declination or is crossing the equator?” NZ Herald Home. It was not unusual to see people like Ring or Gray come out of the woodwork when an event like the Christchurch or Kaikoura earthquake happened. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict March 2012 weather bomb that hit much of the lower North Island. Many of his supporters would argue Mr Ring, who prefers to call his predictions “opinions”, is only warning of elevated risks – but do they stack up against the evidence? Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict the extreme weather event which struck Hobsonville, Auckland on Dec 6th, 2012. While Gray may be the newest kid on the block, he's not the first Kiwi to claim he can predict earthquakes. On his personal Facebook pages he had posted articles about conspiracies ranging from topics such as chemtrails (spraying of chemicals from commercial airliners), fluoride, 1080 and glyphosate, through to "wacky ideas" such as the moon landings being faked and Michelle Obama being born a man, Honeychurch said. I had a visual of a bird with overgrown feet/legs and a large beak. Even the world's top seismologists didn't entirely understand the physics of earthquakes - something that was necessary to predict quakes. Ring claims he predicted the Christchurch 2011 quake. Pictures of blue sky and what Gray and his followers refer to as chemtrails are peppered throughout his Facebook feed. What therefore may happen, can only be described in terms of risks and probability.” While Gray's painting business appears to be his main source of income, he also offers services as a "life improvement consultant". To put things into perspective: The Kaikoura quake released 2600 times as much energy as every nuclear weapon ever detonated. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity. The Alpine Fault runs almost the entire length of the South Island. Exactly the same format of what the books used to comprise. Science writer and former NZ Skeptics chair Vicki Hyde said Ring's background was quite common for someone who claimed to be able to predict future events based on trends or patterns they believe others have missed. Well, after March 20, according to Mr Ring, it won’t be over. On December 12, petrol stations, especially those in Gisborne, were brimming with customers who were worried the big one would hit. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. The furore over John Campbell’s interview with earthquake predictor Ken Ring this week really exposed a strong anti-science vein running through New Zealand that even we here at Sciblogs, seasoned from hand to hand combat with the anti-vax lobby, homeopaths and evolution deniers were surprised at. Britain's Craig Hamilton-Parker says Aotearoa can expect a "serious earthquake" in 2018, which he believes will be part of "a general increase in seismic activity worldwide" next year. Ristau said it took a lot of training and experience to understand earthquakes. Ken Ring offers services for farmers, councils or corporates, weather for a family reunion or a single forecast week to week. Dr Mark Quigley, senior lecturer in active tectonics and geomorphology at Canterbury University, says Mr Ring’s March 20 warning is “opportunistic and meaningless self-promotion during a time of national crisis”. He says Mr Ring is the “very embodiment of… cargo cult science – someone who does some of the things scientists do, but fails in the most defining characteristic by not honestly testing his theories against data”. According to his Facebook page, Ring has been unwell recently and is taking some time off. "If you make enough predictions, eventually you're going to get lucky," he said. nzherald.co.nz Wednesday, 18 November 2020 Gray went from about 600 followers on his Weather Modification Facebook page before the quake, to more than 6000. "Moon man" Ken Ring has been claiming he can predict earthquakes for years but he recently took a step out of the limelight and isn't doing any media interviews. On Tuesday, Mr Ring predicted “potential for serious earthquake activity today in Japan”, four days after the massive 9.0 Sendai quake that triggered destructive tsunamis along the coast of Japan. It seems proven ken ring earthquake predictions 2019 april 1 2017 gmc nonetheless its new deluxe crossovers and the most popular sierra 1500 pickup drive the restrictions of its utilitarian image 2019 gmc sierra 2500 hd rumor and release date 2019 GMC Sierra Denali Off-Road Review: Is It Luxurious. A large Atlantic anticyclone will bring dry, cool weather in a north-westerly airstream, the forecaster predicts. "You've got to be open-minded but you've got to be careful it's not so open your brain falls out," she said. In the year after the M7.8 Kaikōura earthquake there were over 20,000 aftershocks. If you're wondering, the book's called Pawmistry and can be purchased on Amazon for 1 cent. Gray cited the full moon and Prime Minister John Key's abrupt resignation as justification, and suggested the shake could hit the east coast of the North Island. To some, Mr Ring is a prophet, a man whose ideas have been shunned by the establishment like those of Galileo. ACC Minister Nick Smith has a PhD in geotechnical engineering and a background in landslides and earthquake engineering. A scroll through his Spiritual Awareness social media page is almost like a session of staring up at the clouds. Takapau man Nigel Antony Gray is the new kid on the block when it comes to claims of successful earthquake predictions. end quote. It seems as good an indicator as any nothing will happen. Ring publishes almanacs each year for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland in which he provides weather predictions for the entire year. Predictions on 11-8-15 New Zealand Earthquake Spirit what prediction is coming next? Honeychurch said the strength of any ability to predict future events was repeatability. It’s not often such extravagant claims are made in the mainstream, let alone get the following Mr Ring has corralled in recent weeks. The New Zealander has singled out specific periods which, he asserts, may experience the finest conditions; plus, he also marks his cards for periods of significant weather breaks. Predictions of potentials and trends is possible from analysing factors that produced weather in past years. “He paints more than half of the time between the start of January and the end of March as earthquake risk,” says Mr Winter (see Mr Winter’s graph on the right – red equals earthquake). But it’s perhaps worth noting that for Galileo, way back in the early 17th Century, the establishment which repressed his ideas and sentenced him to house arrest was the Roman Inquisition – at the behest of the Catholic Church –not his fellow scientists. He now has about 30,000 followers on the renamed Spiritual Awareness New Zealand. Mr Ring, a fishing commentator, has become a source of heated debate in New Zealand in recent weeks due to his earthquake predictions, which are … CREDIT: FAIRFAX NZ. GeoNet's Ristau said it was impossible for man to create a quake like that experienced on November 14. Premium Auckland Wellington Christchurch. Ken Ring is a writer from Auckland, New Zealand, who asserts that he can use lunar cycles to predict weather and earthquakes. Gray did not respond to requests for comment. He terms his predictions "alternative weather" and has authored books about the weather and climate. He’s further pinpointed April 18 and the year 2020 as future earthquake dates. True love :) little miss Wednesday loves to be carried by her BFF, A photo posted by michael janitch (@dutchsinse) on Aug 8, 2015 at 3:09pm PDT. Does the fact Canterbury shook again five and a half months later prove his methods are correct? Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. On Mr Ring’s site, apart from the headline, his February prediction only mentions a quake is “sure to be somewhere in the ‘Ring of Fire’, where 80 percent of all major earthquakes seem to occur”, and if it is in New Zealand, could be “within 500km of the Alpine Fault”. “There’s no added risk of a quake on March 20 or any other day, and I think people do not realise the disharmony and the discomfort that is being given to a lot of people in the Christchurch regions by [predictions],” he said yesterday. CREDIT: FACEBOOK. This message was followed by the prediction about the earthquake: In 3 to 4.. the earthquake is coming.. soon.. its big. Dr Smith told the National Business Review that Mr Ring’s predictions are “mumbo-jumbo nonsense”. In the prolonged drought of 1862, Jupiter and Saturn lined up on one side of the sun in that year. The Missouri man now has 185,000 subscribers to his YouTube channel, as well as multiple Facebook pages and a website dedicated to his predictions. CREDIT: SUPPLIED. May will see the last of winter frosts and some fine weather but cool" - Ken Ring reveals his weather predictions for 2019. Unlike traditional meteorological services, Ring claims to be able to predict the weather years in advance (rather than the standard three-day window where a weather forecast is considered likely to be accurate). While Gray has become a popular character among those who favour alternative theories, he doesn't have any qualifications in the field of seismology, or related scientific fields. “Within 500kms” reaches as far up the North Island as Hamilton. According to Geonet, the strongest shake Christchurch had that day measured 3.8 – less than one they had just yesterday – 4.0 – which Mr Ring didn’t predict. Mr Ring’s other Twitter predictions don’t get much better. Ring produces annual weather almanacs for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland through his business Predict Weather. Predictions 7-7-17 Earthquake.. New Zealand.. between the two land masses… destructive. Some parts of New Zealand are more likely to experience severe earthquakes than others. KEN RING'S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ. Long-range weather forecaster Ken Ring has shared his distinctive predictions for the coming summer months across the country. How far in advance? Ring has backed out of the limelight in recent times and did not respond to requests for an interview. For days that combine several factors of new moon/perigee etc, he missed out on several predictions and nothing unusual happened on those days. People who claim to be able to predict earthquakes are not unique to New Zealand. TOP DEBATE: Have your say… He’s a regular contributor to the comments section at WeatherWatch.co.nz and Ken Ring of www.predictweather.com often causes controversy when he talks of his predictions.. WeatherWatch.co.nz wanted to find out more about the man behind the moon….so presented him with 10 questions for him to answer for our readers. Ken Ring – genius ahead of his time or a complete fraud? 9.7K likes. Ring has been a well-known fixture in New Zealand for some time now, and also flew to fame off the back of disaster. Gary's posted pictures of himself online, and on his consultancy website, with a bookcase full of scientology materials, worth thousands of dollars. 7:02 The 25 will be lost to this. Instead he posted on Facebook as to why he would not be interviewed by mainstream media. Click here to ... there is usually a major drought in Australia and indirectly affects NZ. So far for 2020 there have been 2687 aftershocks located. Before he was a self-appointed weather forecaster and earthquake predictor, Ring was a maths teacher and later became an educational magician, known as Mathman. “Even if the moon is sometimes the straw that breaks the camels back at a particular fault, you couldn’t use the moon to predict an earthquake unless you already new a fault was about to go,” says Mr Winter, “i.e the moon could only predict earthquakes when you could already predict an earthquake.” He has been advertising his seminars, along with other Scientology-related events and programmes, to his 30,000 Facebook followers. At the time, Gray told media his intention wasn't to scaremonger. Read Vine's Prediction Here: Psychic Prediction about Earthquakes and Extreme Weather. 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